Drie modellen, één voorspelling.
Per uur mengen we KNMI Harmonie (50%), DWD ICON (30%) en ECMWF (20%). Zijn ze het oneens, dan zakt de betrouwbaarheid. Harmonie rekent ongeveer 2,5 dag vooruit, daarna nemen de andere twee het over.
Nu gemeten tegenover voorspeld
Live 10-minutenmeting van Rijkswaterstaat naast de modelwaarde voor dit uur op dezelfde plek.
| Station | Gemeten | KNMI Harmonie | DWD ICON | ECMWF IFS | Mix | Richting gemeten / mix |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Helder De Kooy (19:50) | 5 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | WNW / NW (11° verschil) |
| Hoek van Holland (19:40) | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | W / W (5° verschil) |
| Houtribdijk IJsselmeer (19:50) | 9 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | WNW / WNW (13° verschil) |
| IJmuiden buitenhaven (19:50) | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | WNW / WNW (17° verschil) |
| Markermeer midden (19:50) | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 10 | WZW / W (26° verschil) |
| Stavoren IJsselmeer (19:40) | 10 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 11 | WNW / WNW (3° verschil) |
Per spot, per uur
Kies een spot. Knopen per model, de mix, en hoe ver de modellen uit elkaar liggen.
KNMI Harmonie (2 km)
Gemiddeld 0.8 kn van de mix, over 39 uur.
DWD ICON (2–13 km)
Gemiddeld 1.5 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
ECMWF IFS (25 km)
Gemiddeld 2.2 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
zondag 11 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 32 | WNW 286° | 1.2 |
| 09:00 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 31 | WNW 289° | 0.7 |
| 10:00 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 30 | WNW 290° | 3.3 |
| 11:00 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 30 | WNW 290° | 1.4 |
| 12:00 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 30 | WNW 289° | 2.5 |
| 13:00 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 31 | WNW 291° | 1.2 |
| 14:00 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 29 | WNW 298° | 0.7 |
| 15:00 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 26 | WNW 301° | 1.1 |
| 16:00 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 24 | WNW 296° | 2.6 |
| 17:00 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 22 | WNW 301° | 1.1 |
| 18:00 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 21 | WNW 302° | 2.0 |
| 19:00 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 19 | WNW 298° | 2.7 |
| 20:00 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 18 | WNW 301° | 1.7 |
maandag 12 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 13 | Z 171° | 3.3 |
| 09:00 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 14 | Z 169° | 3.0 |
| 10:00 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 15 | ZZO 166° | 2.6 |
| 11:00 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 16 | ZZO 163° | 2.1 |
| 12:00 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 16 | ZZO 162° | 2.3 |
| 13:00 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 16 | ZZO 163° | 3.4 |
| 14:00 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 16 | ZZO 165° | 3.1 |
| 15:00 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 16 | ZZO 162° | 2.6 |
| 16:00 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 17 | ZZO 159° | 1.7 |
| 17:00 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 17 | ZZO 156° | 2.1 |
| 18:00 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 17 | ZZO 149° | 3.3 |
| 19:00 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 17 | ZO 142° | 3.7 |
| 20:00 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 17 | ZO 143° | 3.4 |
dinsdag 13 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 18 | Z 185° | 5.5 |
| 09:00 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 18 | Z 187° | 5.9 |
| 10:00 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 18 | Z 188° | 5.5 |
| 11:00 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 14 | 21 | ZZW 203° | 4.3 |
| 12:00 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 28 | ZZW 213° | 2.6 |
| 13:00 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 29 | ZZW 210° | 2.4 |
| 14:00 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 31 | ZW 215° | 0.8 |
| 15:00 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 33 | ZW 221° | 1.3 |
| 16:00 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 33 | ZW 227° | 0.8 |
| 17:00 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 33 | WZW 240° | 1.6 |
| 18:00 | 22 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 32 | W 260° | 4.3 |
| 19:00 | 20 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 27 | WNW 290° | 7.2 |
| 20:00 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 24 | W 281° | 2.0 |
woensdag 14 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 9 | 10 | 10 | 15 | WNW 292° | 0.9 |
| 09:00 | – | 8 | 9 | 9 | 13 | WNW 282° | 0.3 |
| 10:00 | – | 7 | 8 | 8 | 12 | W 259° | 1.1 |
| 11:00 | – | 8 | 9 | 8 | 12 | WZW 242° | 0.5 |
| 12:00 | – | 9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | ZW 236° | 0.1 |
| 13:00 | – | 10 | 10 | 10 | 14 | ZW 233° | 0.7 |
| 14:00 | – | 11 | 10 | 11 | 15 | ZW 229° | 1.2 |
| 15:00 | – | 13 | 11 | 12 | 16 | ZW 227° | 1.6 |
| 16:00 | – | 14 | 12 | 13 | 18 | ZW 219° | 1.8 |
| 17:00 | – | 14 | 12 | 13 | 18 | ZW 222° | 1.1 |
| 18:00 | – | 12 | 13 | 12 | 18 | ZW 220° | 1.2 |
| 19:00 | – | 11 | 14 | 12 | 17 | ZW 215° | 2.5 |
| 20:00 | – | 10 | 14 | 12 | 17 | ZZW 206° | 3.6 |
donderdag 15 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 14 | 14 | 14 | 21 | Z 187° | 0.1 |
| 09:00 | – | 14 | 13 | 14 | 21 | Z 190° | 0.4 |
| 10:00 | – | 14 | 13 | 14 | 20 | ZZW 194° | 0.5 |
| 11:00 | – | 14 | 13 | 14 | 20 | ZZW 198° | 0.6 |
| 12:00 | – | 14 | 14 | 14 | 21 | ZZW 200° | 0.1 |
| 13:00 | – | 13 | 14 | 13 | 21 | ZZW 202° | 1.3 |
| 14:00 | – | 12 | 15 | 13 | 22 | ZZW 202° | 2.1 |
| 15:00 | – | 12 | 14 | 13 | 22 | ZZW 204° | 2.4 |
| 16:00 | – | 11 | 14 | 12 | 22 | ZZW 204° | 2.1 |
| 17:00 | – | 11 | 13 | 12 | 22 | ZZW 203° | 2.0 |
| 18:00 | – | 11 | 13 | 11 | 21 | ZZW 198° | 1.9 |
| 19:00 | – | 11 | 12 | 11 | 20 | Z 190° | 1.6 |
| 20:00 | – | 11 | 12 | 11 | 20 | Z 187° | 1.3 |
vrijdag 16 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 17 | 11 | 15 | 22 | NNW 335° | 6.8 |
| 09:00 | – | 20 | 11 | 16 | 23 | NNW 333° | 8.5 |
| 10:00 | – | 19 | 12 | 16 | 25 | NW 316° | 6.7 |
| 11:00 | – | 18 | 13 | 16 | 26 | NW 304° | 5.3 |
| 12:00 | – | 17 | 13 | 16 | 26 | WNW 296° | 4.2 |
| 13:00 | – | 17 | 13 | 15 | 25 | WNW 287° | 3.6 |
| 14:00 | – | 16 | 11 | 14 | 24 | WNW 282° | 4.9 |
| 15:00 | – | 16 | 7 | 12 | 25 | WNW 283° | 8.7 |
| 16:00 | – | 16 | 5 | 12 | 25 | NW 306° | 10.9 |
| 17:00 | – | 16 | 9 | 13 | 26 | NW 322° | 6.4 |
| 18:00 | – | 15 | 15 | 15 | 27 | NNW 329° | 0.0 |
| 19:00 | – | 15 | 22 | 18 | 28 | NNW 333° | 7.2 |
| 20:00 | – | 14 | 26 | 19 | 28 | NNW 337° | 11.6 |
zaterdag 17 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 14 | 20 | 16 | 25 | N 356° | 6.2 |
| 09:00 | – | 13 | 19 | 16 | 25 | N 358° | 5.9 |
| 10:00 | – | 13 | 19 | 15 | 24 | N 0° | 5.5 |
| 11:00 | – | 13 | 18 | 15 | 24 | N 1° | 5.5 |
| 12:00 | – | 13 | 19 | 15 | 23 | N 0° | 6.1 |
| 13:00 | – | 13 | 20 | 16 | 24 | N 359° | 7.0 |
| 14:00 | – | 12 | 21 | 16 | 23 | N 357° | 8.2 |
| 15:00 | – | 11 | 21 | 15 | 23 | N 357° | 9.5 |
| 16:00 | – | 10 | 21 | 15 | 21 | N 358° | 10.9 |
| 17:00 | – | 9 | 21 | 14 | 21 | N 359° | 11.9 |
| 18:00 | – | 9 | 21 | 14 | 21 | N 358° | 12.4 |
| 19:00 | – | 9 | 21 | 14 | 21 | N 359° | 12.5 |
| 20:00 | – | 8 | 21 | 14 | 21 | N 360° | 12.8 |