Drie modellen, één voorspelling.
Per uur mengen we KNMI Harmonie (50%), DWD ICON (30%) en ECMWF (20%). Zijn ze het oneens, dan zakt de betrouwbaarheid. Harmonie rekent ongeveer 2,5 dag vooruit, daarna nemen de andere twee het over.
Nu gemeten tegenover voorspeld
Live 10-minutenmeting van Rijkswaterstaat naast de modelwaarde voor dit uur op dezelfde plek.
| Station | Gemeten | KNMI Harmonie | DWD ICON | ECMWF IFS | Mix | Richting gemeten / mix |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Helder De Kooy (19:50) | 5 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | WNW / NW (11° verschil) |
| Hoek van Holland (19:40) | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | W / W (5° verschil) |
| Houtribdijk IJsselmeer (19:50) | 9 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | WNW / WNW (13° verschil) |
| IJmuiden buitenhaven (19:50) | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | WNW / WNW (17° verschil) |
| Markermeer midden (19:50) | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 10 | WZW / W (26° verschil) |
| Stavoren IJsselmeer (19:40) | 10 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 11 | WNW / WNW (3° verschil) |
Per spot, per uur
Kies een spot. Knopen per model, de mix, en hoe ver de modellen uit elkaar liggen.
KNMI Harmonie (2 km)
Gemiddeld 0.9 kn van de mix, over 39 uur.
DWD ICON (2–13 km)
Gemiddeld 1.3 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
ECMWF IFS (25 km)
Gemiddeld 1.5 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
zondag 11 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 15 | W 266° | 0.5 |
| 09:00 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 15 | W 279° | 0.9 |
| 10:00 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 16 | W 262° | 0.2 |
| 11:00 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 18 | W 265° | 4.6 |
| 12:00 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 15 | W 274° | 3.0 |
| 13:00 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 21 | WNW 285° | 2.4 |
| 14:00 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 16 | WNW 298° | 6.7 |
| 15:00 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 21 | WNW 298° | 0.9 |
| 16:00 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 15 | WNW 295° | 5.7 |
| 17:00 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 15 | WNW 297° | 3.1 |
| 18:00 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 14 | WNW 290° | 3.8 |
| 19:00 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 12 | W 279° | 2.2 |
| 20:00 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 9 | WZW 258° | 2.2 |
maandag 12 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | ZZW 210° | 0.3 |
| 09:00 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | ZZW 194° | 0.2 |
| 10:00 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 11 | ZZW 198° | 3.5 |
| 11:00 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 11 | ZZW 202° | 3.9 |
| 12:00 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 14 | Z 189° | 2.0 |
| 13:00 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 15 | Z 183° | 2.4 |
| 14:00 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 16 | Z 175° | 2.6 |
| 15:00 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 15 | Z 170° | 2.5 |
| 16:00 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 14 | ZZO 165° | 2.0 |
| 17:00 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 13 | ZZO 156° | 1.9 |
| 18:00 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 14 | ZZO 155° | 1.4 |
| 19:00 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 14 | ZO 144° | 1.7 |
| 20:00 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 15 | ZO 144° | 1.5 |
dinsdag 13 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 19 | Z 189° | 1.8 |
| 09:00 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 18 | ZZW 193° | 2.4 |
| 10:00 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 17 | ZZW 194° | 2.2 |
| 11:00 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 18 | ZZW 192° | 1.3 |
| 12:00 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 18 | ZZW 195° | 0.3 |
| 13:00 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 20 | ZZW 205° | 3.9 |
| 14:00 | 12 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 19 | ZZW 207° | 5.1 |
| 15:00 | 14 | 21 | 14 | 16 | 23 | ZW 219° | 7.1 |
| 16:00 | 16 | 20 | 16 | 17 | 26 | ZW 232° | 3.8 |
| 17:00 | 17 | 21 | 17 | 18 | 27 | WZW 244° | 4.0 |
| 18:00 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 27 | WZW 256° | 2.6 |
| 19:00 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 26 | W 278° | 2.9 |
| 20:00 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 21 | W 280° | 1.6 |
woensdag 14 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 5 | 7 | 6 | 9 | W 270° | 1.6 |
| 09:00 | – | 5 | 6 | 5 | 8 | WZW 255° | 0.4 |
| 10:00 | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | ZW 232° | 0.0 |
| 11:00 | – | 6 | 5 | 6 | 9 | ZW 229° | 0.9 |
| 12:00 | – | 8 | 6 | 7 | 11 | WZW 237° | 2.0 |
| 13:00 | – | 9 | 7 | 8 | 12 | WZW 238° | 2.0 |
| 14:00 | – | 9 | 8 | 9 | 12 | ZW 234° | 1.4 |
| 15:00 | – | 10 | 8 | 9 | 13 | WZW 237° | 2.4 |
| 16:00 | – | 10 | 8 | 9 | 13 | ZW 229° | 2.5 |
| 17:00 | – | 10 | 8 | 9 | 14 | ZW 227° | 2.5 |
| 18:00 | – | 9 | 8 | 9 | 13 | ZW 217° | 1.5 |
| 19:00 | – | 7 | 7 | 7 | 12 | ZW 215° | 0.2 |
| 20:00 | – | 6 | 7 | 7 | 11 | ZZW 206° | 1.3 |
donderdag 15 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 12 | 11 | 11 | 18 | ZZW 197° | 0.9 |
| 09:00 | – | 12 | 11 | 11 | 18 | ZZW 198° | 0.9 |
| 10:00 | – | 11 | 10 | 11 | 17 | ZZW 201° | 1.0 |
| 11:00 | – | 11 | 11 | 11 | 17 | ZZW 203° | 0.8 |
| 12:00 | – | 11 | 11 | 11 | 17 | ZZW 204° | 0.4 |
| 13:00 | – | 11 | 11 | 11 | 17 | ZZW 203° | 0.1 |
| 14:00 | – | 11 | 12 | 11 | 18 | ZZW 202° | 0.7 |
| 15:00 | – | 11 | 12 | 11 | 18 | ZZW 200° | 1.1 |
| 16:00 | – | 10 | 11 | 11 | 18 | ZZW 197° | 1.4 |
| 17:00 | – | 10 | 11 | 10 | 18 | ZZW 195° | 1.7 |
| 18:00 | – | 9 | 11 | 10 | 17 | ZZW 194° | 1.6 |
| 19:00 | – | 10 | 11 | 10 | 17 | ZZW 194° | 1.1 |
| 20:00 | – | 10 | 10 | 10 | 17 | ZZW 195° | 0.8 |
vrijdag 16 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 9 | 10 | 9 | 14 | WZW 255° | 1.0 |
| 09:00 | – | 11 | 11 | 11 | 16 | W 272° | 0.1 |
| 10:00 | – | 14 | 12 | 13 | 19 | WNW 287° | 1.9 |
| 11:00 | – | 16 | 13 | 15 | 22 | WNW 295° | 3.6 |
| 12:00 | – | 16 | 12 | 15 | 22 | WNW 292° | 4.0 |
| 13:00 | – | 16 | 11 | 14 | 22 | WNW 285° | 4.4 |
| 14:00 | – | 16 | 10 | 13 | 22 | W 281° | 5.7 |
| 15:00 | – | 16 | 8 | 13 | 23 | W 280° | 7.4 |
| 16:00 | – | 16 | 8 | 13 | 22 | WNW 288° | 8.3 |
| 17:00 | – | 16 | 8 | 13 | 23 | WNW 298° | 8.2 |
| 18:00 | – | 16 | 9 | 13 | 24 | NW 316° | 7.0 |
| 19:00 | – | 16 | 14 | 15 | 26 | NNW 329° | 1.7 |
| 20:00 | – | 15 | 19 | 17 | 27 | NNW 335° | 3.1 |
zaterdag 17 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 14 | 18 | 16 | 23 | N 355° | 3.4 |
| 09:00 | – | 14 | 17 | 15 | 24 | N 354° | 2.6 |
| 10:00 | – | 14 | 16 | 15 | 24 | N 350° | 1.8 |
| 11:00 | – | 14 | 16 | 15 | 24 | NNW 347° | 1.7 |
| 12:00 | – | 13 | 16 | 15 | 24 | NNW 348° | 2.8 |
| 13:00 | – | 13 | 17 | 14 | 24 | N 349° | 4.4 |
| 14:00 | – | 12 | 18 | 14 | 23 | N 350° | 6.0 |
| 15:00 | – | 11 | 19 | 14 | 22 | N 350° | 7.5 |
| 16:00 | – | 11 | 19 | 14 | 21 | N 349° | 8.8 |
| 17:00 | – | 10 | 20 | 14 | 20 | N 349° | 10.0 |
| 18:00 | – | 9 | 20 | 13 | 20 | NNW 348° | 10.9 |
| 19:00 | – | 9 | 20 | 13 | 20 | NNW 347° | 11.6 |
| 20:00 | – | 8 | 20 | 13 | 20 | NNW 345° | 11.9 |