Drie modellen, één voorspelling.
Per uur mengen we KNMI Harmonie (50%), DWD ICON (30%) en ECMWF (20%). Zijn ze het oneens, dan zakt de betrouwbaarheid. Harmonie rekent ongeveer 2,5 dag vooruit, daarna nemen de andere twee het over.
Nu gemeten tegenover voorspeld
Live 10-minutenmeting van Rijkswaterstaat naast de modelwaarde voor dit uur op dezelfde plek.
| Station | Gemeten | KNMI Harmonie | DWD ICON | ECMWF IFS | Mix | Richting gemeten / mix |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Helder De Kooy (19:50) | 5 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | WNW / NW (11° verschil) |
| Hoek van Holland (19:40) | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | W / W (5° verschil) |
| Houtribdijk IJsselmeer (19:50) | 9 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | WNW / WNW (13° verschil) |
| IJmuiden buitenhaven (19:50) | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | WNW / WNW (17° verschil) |
| Markermeer midden (19:50) | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 10 | WZW / W (26° verschil) |
| Stavoren IJsselmeer (19:40) | 10 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 11 | WNW / WNW (3° verschil) |
Per spot, per uur
Kies een spot. Knopen per model, de mix, en hoe ver de modellen uit elkaar liggen.
KNMI Harmonie (2 km)
Gemiddeld 1.1 kn van de mix, over 39 uur.
DWD ICON (2–13 km)
Gemiddeld 1.6 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
ECMWF IFS (25 km)
Gemiddeld 2.5 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
zondag 11 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 30 | WNW 286° | 1.6 |
| 09:00 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 30 | WNW 286° | 0.3 |
| 10:00 | 19 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 29 | WNW 287° | 4.0 |
| 11:00 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 29 | WNW 286° | 2.3 |
| 12:00 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 28 | WNW 286° | 1.6 |
| 13:00 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 28 | WNW 286° | 1.3 |
| 14:00 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 25 | WNW 292° | 1.6 |
| 15:00 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 24 | WNW 285° | 1.2 |
| 16:00 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 23 | WNW 283° | 0.8 |
| 17:00 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 21 | WNW 286° | 3.4 |
| 18:00 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 20 | WNW 285° | 1.9 |
| 19:00 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 19 | W 281° | 0.3 |
| 20:00 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 18 | W 280° | 1.4 |
maandag 12 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 12 | ZZO 165° | 3.9 |
| 09:00 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 13 | ZZO 163° | 2.9 |
| 10:00 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 13 | ZZO 163° | 3.5 |
| 11:00 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 14 | ZZO 159° | 3.3 |
| 12:00 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 15 | ZZO 154° | 3.5 |
| 13:00 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 16 | ZZO 157° | 2.6 |
| 14:00 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 16 | ZZO 161° | 1.8 |
| 15:00 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 17 | ZZO 165° | 2.7 |
| 16:00 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 16 | ZZO 162° | 2.7 |
| 17:00 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 16 | ZZO 162° | 3.6 |
| 18:00 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 15 | ZZO 153° | 5.3 |
| 19:00 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 13 | ZZO 148° | 5.5 |
| 20:00 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 16 | ZZO 148° | 5.3 |
dinsdag 13 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 12 | 16 | Z 190° | 8.1 |
| 09:00 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 12 | 17 | ZZW 193° | 7.5 |
| 10:00 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 12 | 18 | ZZW 197° | 5.9 |
| 11:00 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 18 | ZZW 204° | 4.9 |
| 12:00 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 21 | ZZW 210° | 5.3 |
| 13:00 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 16 | 23 | ZZW 212° | 5.9 |
| 14:00 | 16 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 26 | ZW 217° | 4.7 |
| 15:00 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 30 | ZW 227° | 2.0 |
| 16:00 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 32 | ZW 231° | 1.6 |
| 17:00 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 33 | WZW 242° | 3.5 |
| 18:00 | 20 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 30 | WZW 254° | 7.3 |
| 19:00 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 26 | W 266° | 3.7 |
| 20:00 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 22 | WNW 296° | 0.7 |
woensdag 14 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 6 | 9 | 7 | 11 | WNW 290° | 3.0 |
| 09:00 | – | 5 | 7 | 6 | 10 | W 277° | 2.7 |
| 10:00 | – | 5 | 7 | 6 | 9 | WZW 253° | 2.2 |
| 11:00 | – | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | ZW 235° | 0.8 |
| 12:00 | – | 7 | 8 | 8 | 12 | ZW 233° | 1.0 |
| 13:00 | – | 9 | 10 | 9 | 13 | ZW 232° | 0.9 |
| 14:00 | – | 10 | 11 | 10 | 15 | ZW 228° | 0.7 |
| 15:00 | – | 10 | 11 | 11 | 16 | ZW 231° | 0.9 |
| 16:00 | – | 10 | 12 | 10 | 16 | ZW 223° | 2.1 |
| 17:00 | – | 9 | 12 | 10 | 16 | ZW 224° | 3.2 |
| 18:00 | – | 8 | 12 | 10 | 15 | ZW 218° | 3.8 |
| 19:00 | – | 6 | 12 | 9 | 15 | ZZW 211° | 5.7 |
| 20:00 | – | 6 | 12 | 8 | 12 | ZZW 194° | 6.1 |
donderdag 15 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 9 | 12 | 11 | 18 | Z 185° | 3.1 |
| 09:00 | – | 10 | 13 | 11 | 18 | Z 189° | 2.9 |
| 10:00 | – | 10 | 13 | 11 | 18 | ZZW 196° | 2.7 |
| 11:00 | – | 10 | 13 | 11 | 18 | ZZW 199° | 2.8 |
| 12:00 | – | 10 | 13 | 11 | 18 | ZZW 200° | 3.0 |
| 13:00 | – | 10 | 13 | 11 | 19 | ZZW 199° | 3.5 |
| 14:00 | – | 9 | 13 | 11 | 20 | ZZW 197° | 3.6 |
| 15:00 | – | 10 | 13 | 11 | 21 | ZZW 198° | 3.2 |
| 16:00 | – | 10 | 12 | 11 | 22 | ZZW 198° | 2.3 |
| 17:00 | – | 10 | 12 | 11 | 22 | ZZW 198° | 2.2 |
| 18:00 | – | 9 | 12 | 11 | 20 | ZZW 193° | 2.8 |
| 19:00 | – | 9 | 12 | 10 | 18 | Z 187° | 3.6 |
| 20:00 | – | 8 | 13 | 10 | 18 | Z 183° | 4.3 |
vrijdag 16 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 8 | 12 | 9 | 16 | W 281° | 4.1 |
| 09:00 | – | 10 | 12 | 11 | 18 | WNW 296° | 1.7 |
| 10:00 | – | 13 | 12 | 13 | 22 | WNW 303° | 0.6 |
| 11:00 | – | 15 | 12 | 14 | 24 | NW 304° | 2.3 |
| 12:00 | – | 16 | 13 | 15 | 24 | WNW 298° | 3.1 |
| 13:00 | – | 16 | 13 | 15 | 23 | WNW 289° | 3.2 |
| 14:00 | – | 17 | 11 | 15 | 23 | WNW 284° | 5.3 |
| 15:00 | – | 18 | 7 | 13 | 24 | WNW 284° | 10.7 |
| 16:00 | – | 18 | 5 | 13 | 25 | NW 309° | 12.8 |
| 17:00 | – | 18 | 10 | 15 | 26 | NW 323° | 7.5 |
| 18:00 | – | 18 | 17 | 17 | 26 | NNW 328° | 0.6 |
| 19:00 | – | 17 | 23 | 20 | 27 | NNW 332° | 6.4 |
| 20:00 | – | 17 | 27 | 21 | 29 | NNW 336° | 10.6 |
zaterdag 17 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 17 | 21 | 19 | 26 | N 357° | 3.9 |
| 09:00 | – | 16 | 20 | 18 | 26 | N 358° | 3.8 |
| 10:00 | – | 16 | 19 | 17 | 26 | N 0° | 3.6 |
| 11:00 | – | 15 | 19 | 17 | 26 | N 2° | 4.0 |
| 12:00 | – | 15 | 20 | 17 | 25 | N 2° | 5.0 |
| 13:00 | – | 14 | 21 | 17 | 24 | N 2° | 6.4 |
| 14:00 | – | 14 | 22 | 17 | 23 | N 2° | 7.8 |
| 15:00 | – | 13 | 22 | 17 | 22 | N 1° | 8.9 |
| 16:00 | – | 12 | 22 | 16 | 22 | N 0° | 9.9 |
| 17:00 | – | 12 | 22 | 16 | 21 | N 360° | 10.6 |
| 18:00 | – | 11 | 22 | 15 | 21 | N 360° | 10.8 |
| 19:00 | – | 11 | 22 | 15 | 22 | N 360° | 10.6 |
| 20:00 | – | 11 | 22 | 15 | 22 | N 1° | 10.8 |