Drie modellen, één voorspelling.
Per uur mengen we KNMI Harmonie (50%), DWD ICON (30%) en ECMWF (20%). Zijn ze het oneens, dan zakt de betrouwbaarheid. Harmonie rekent ongeveer 2,5 dag vooruit, daarna nemen de andere twee het over.
Nu gemeten tegenover voorspeld
Live 10-minutenmeting van Rijkswaterstaat naast de modelwaarde voor dit uur op dezelfde plek.
| Station | Gemeten | KNMI Harmonie | DWD ICON | ECMWF IFS | Mix | Richting gemeten / mix |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Helder De Kooy (19:50) | 5 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | WNW / NW (11° verschil) |
| Hoek van Holland (19:40) | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | W / W (5° verschil) |
| Houtribdijk IJsselmeer (19:50) | 9 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | WNW / WNW (13° verschil) |
| IJmuiden buitenhaven (19:50) | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | WNW / WNW (17° verschil) |
| Markermeer midden (19:50) | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 10 | WZW / W (26° verschil) |
| Stavoren IJsselmeer (19:40) | 10 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 11 | WNW / WNW (3° verschil) |
Per spot, per uur
Kies een spot. Knopen per model, de mix, en hoe ver de modellen uit elkaar liggen.
KNMI Harmonie (2 km)
Gemiddeld 0.9 kn van de mix, over 39 uur.
DWD ICON (2–13 km)
Gemiddeld 1.5 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
ECMWF IFS (25 km)
Gemiddeld 2.1 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
zondag 11 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 31 | WNW 286° | 1.1 |
| 09:00 | 22 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 30 | WNW 290° | 3.4 |
| 10:00 | 20 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 28 | WNW 289° | 3.8 |
| 11:00 | 22 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 30 | WNW 294° | 4.1 |
| 12:00 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 28 | WNW 294° | 1.5 |
| 13:00 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 30 | WNW 298° | 2.7 |
| 14:00 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 28 | WNW 298° | 2.0 |
| 15:00 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 26 | WNW 300° | 2.7 |
| 16:00 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 23 | WNW 303° | 0.2 |
| 17:00 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 22 | NW 304° | 2.3 |
| 18:00 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 21 | WNW 302° | 1.4 |
| 19:00 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 19 | WNW 303° | 1.0 |
| 20:00 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 18 | WNW 297° | 1.3 |
maandag 12 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 12 | ZZO 168° | 3.7 |
| 09:00 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 13 | Z 170° | 2.8 |
| 10:00 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 15 | ZZO 168° | 0.6 |
| 11:00 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 16 | ZZO 163° | 0.7 |
| 12:00 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 16 | ZZO 163° | 1.3 |
| 13:00 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 16 | ZZO 165° | 2.4 |
| 14:00 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 16 | ZZO 166° | 2.9 |
| 15:00 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 16 | ZZO 164° | 2.0 |
| 16:00 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 16 | ZZO 160° | 1.0 |
| 17:00 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 16 | ZZO 156° | 1.4 |
| 18:00 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 16 | ZZO 151° | 3.2 |
| 19:00 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 16 | ZO 142° | 2.9 |
| 20:00 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 17 | ZO 143° | 3.7 |
dinsdag 13 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 19 | Z 190° | 3.2 |
| 09:00 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 20 | Z 188° | 4.7 |
| 10:00 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 20 | Z 189° | 3.4 |
| 11:00 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 23 | ZZW 211° | 1.4 |
| 12:00 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 27 | ZZW 213° | 1.9 |
| 13:00 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 29 | ZZW 212° | 2.0 |
| 14:00 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 30 | ZW 214° | 2.6 |
| 15:00 | 26 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 32 | ZW 220° | 3.7 |
| 16:00 | 25 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 33 | ZW 227° | 2.8 |
| 17:00 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 32 | WZW 240° | 3.6 |
| 18:00 | 24 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 31 | W 262° | 7.6 |
| 19:00 | 22 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 27 | WNW 288° | 7.7 |
| 20:00 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 24 | WNW 283° | 3.9 |
woensdag 14 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 9 | 10 | 10 | 16 | WNW 292° | 0.9 |
| 09:00 | – | 9 | 9 | 9 | 14 | WNW 283° | 0.0 |
| 10:00 | – | 7 | 8 | 8 | 13 | W 261° | 1.0 |
| 11:00 | – | 8 | 9 | 8 | 12 | WZW 243° | 0.5 |
| 12:00 | – | 9 | 9 | 9 | 13 | ZW 236° | 0.1 |
| 13:00 | – | 10 | 10 | 10 | 14 | ZW 233° | 0.7 |
| 14:00 | – | 11 | 10 | 11 | 15 | ZW 229° | 0.8 |
| 15:00 | – | 12 | 11 | 12 | 17 | ZW 227° | 1.4 |
| 16:00 | – | 13 | 12 | 13 | 18 | ZW 221° | 1.6 |
| 17:00 | – | 14 | 12 | 13 | 19 | ZW 222° | 1.4 |
| 18:00 | – | 12 | 13 | 13 | 20 | ZW 221° | 0.8 |
| 19:00 | – | 12 | 14 | 13 | 18 | ZW 215° | 2.0 |
| 20:00 | – | 10 | 14 | 12 | 18 | ZZW 208° | 3.4 |
donderdag 15 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 14 | 14 | 14 | 23 | Z 189° | 0.4 |
| 09:00 | – | 14 | 13 | 14 | 23 | Z 191° | 0.7 |
| 10:00 | – | 14 | 13 | 14 | 22 | ZZW 195° | 0.9 |
| 11:00 | – | 14 | 13 | 14 | 21 | ZZW 199° | 1.0 |
| 12:00 | – | 14 | 14 | 14 | 22 | ZZW 201° | 0.6 |
| 13:00 | – | 14 | 14 | 14 | 23 | ZZW 202° | 0.0 |
| 14:00 | – | 14 | 15 | 14 | 24 | ZZW 203° | 0.8 |
| 15:00 | – | 13 | 14 | 14 | 24 | ZZW 204° | 1.1 |
| 16:00 | – | 12 | 14 | 13 | 24 | ZZW 204° | 1.1 |
| 17:00 | – | 12 | 13 | 12 | 24 | ZZW 203° | 1.2 |
| 18:00 | – | 11 | 13 | 12 | 23 | ZZW 199° | 1.2 |
| 19:00 | – | 11 | 12 | 12 | 22 | ZZW 192° | 0.9 |
| 20:00 | – | 12 | 12 | 12 | 21 | Z 188° | 0.7 |
vrijdag 16 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 18 | 11 | 15 | 24 | NNW 341° | 7.0 |
| 09:00 | – | 19 | 11 | 16 | 25 | NNW 333° | 8.3 |
| 10:00 | – | 19 | 12 | 16 | 26 | NW 312° | 6.2 |
| 11:00 | – | 18 | 13 | 16 | 27 | WNW 299° | 4.5 |
| 12:00 | – | 17 | 13 | 15 | 26 | WNW 291° | 3.6 |
| 13:00 | – | 16 | 13 | 15 | 25 | WNW 285° | 3.1 |
| 14:00 | – | 16 | 11 | 14 | 24 | W 281° | 4.6 |
| 15:00 | – | 16 | 7 | 12 | 25 | WNW 283° | 8.7 |
| 16:00 | – | 16 | 5 | 12 | 25 | NW 306° | 10.9 |
| 17:00 | – | 16 | 9 | 13 | 26 | NW 322° | 6.4 |
| 18:00 | – | 15 | 15 | 15 | 27 | NNW 329° | 0.0 |
| 19:00 | – | 15 | 22 | 18 | 28 | NNW 333° | 7.2 |
| 20:00 | – | 14 | 26 | 19 | 28 | NNW 337° | 11.6 |
zaterdag 17 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 14 | 20 | 16 | 25 | N 356° | 6.2 |
| 09:00 | – | 13 | 19 | 16 | 25 | N 358° | 5.9 |
| 10:00 | – | 13 | 19 | 15 | 24 | N 0° | 5.5 |
| 11:00 | – | 13 | 18 | 15 | 24 | N 1° | 5.5 |
| 12:00 | – | 13 | 19 | 15 | 23 | N 0° | 6.1 |
| 13:00 | – | 13 | 20 | 16 | 24 | N 359° | 7.0 |
| 14:00 | – | 12 | 21 | 16 | 23 | N 357° | 8.2 |
| 15:00 | – | 11 | 21 | 15 | 23 | N 357° | 9.5 |
| 16:00 | – | 10 | 21 | 15 | 21 | N 358° | 10.9 |
| 17:00 | – | 9 | 21 | 14 | 21 | N 359° | 11.9 |
| 18:00 | – | 9 | 21 | 14 | 21 | N 358° | 12.4 |
| 19:00 | – | 9 | 21 | 14 | 21 | N 359° | 12.5 |
| 20:00 | – | 8 | 21 | 14 | 21 | N 360° | 12.8 |