Drie modellen, één voorspelling.
Per uur mengen we KNMI Harmonie (50%), DWD ICON (30%) en ECMWF (20%). Zijn ze het oneens, dan zakt de betrouwbaarheid. Harmonie rekent ongeveer 2,5 dag vooruit, daarna nemen de andere twee het over.
Nu gemeten tegenover voorspeld
Live 10-minutenmeting van Rijkswaterstaat naast de modelwaarde voor dit uur op dezelfde plek.
| Station | Gemeten | KNMI Harmonie | DWD ICON | ECMWF IFS | Mix | Richting gemeten / mix |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Helder De Kooy (19:50) | 5 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | WNW / NW (11° verschil) |
| Hoek van Holland (19:40) | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | W / W (5° verschil) |
| Houtribdijk IJsselmeer (19:50) | 9 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | WNW / WNW (13° verschil) |
| IJmuiden buitenhaven (19:50) | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | WNW / WNW (17° verschil) |
| Markermeer midden (19:50) | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 10 | WZW / W (26° verschil) |
| Stavoren IJsselmeer (19:40) | 10 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 11 | WNW / WNW (3° verschil) |
Per spot, per uur
Kies een spot. Knopen per model, de mix, en hoe ver de modellen uit elkaar liggen.
KNMI Harmonie (2 km)
Gemiddeld 1.3 kn van de mix, over 39 uur.
DWD ICON (2–13 km)
Gemiddeld 1.4 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
ECMWF IFS (25 km)
Gemiddeld 2.4 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
zondag 11 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 23 | 21 | 16 | 21 | 28 | WNW 284° | 7.5 |
| 09:00 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 25 | WNW 287° | 3.4 |
| 10:00 | 24 | 17 | 15 | 20 | 26 | WNW 284° | 8.8 |
| 11:00 | 20 | 21 | 14 | 19 | 26 | WNW 291° | 6.5 |
| 12:00 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 24 | NW 312° | 3.7 |
| 13:00 | 20 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 29 | WNW 298° | 7.9 |
| 14:00 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 25 | NW 315° | 4.3 |
| 15:00 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 19 | 25 | NW 313° | 4.1 |
| 16:00 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 23 | NW 310° | 3.1 |
| 17:00 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 21 | NW 310° | 3.0 |
| 18:00 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 21 | NW 307° | 2.9 |
| 19:00 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 19 | NW 306° | 3.1 |
| 20:00 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 18 | NW 312° | 2.9 |
maandag 12 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 12 | WZW 244° | 4.8 |
| 09:00 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 12 | ZW 230° | 4.7 |
| 10:00 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 11 | ZZW 204° | 3.5 |
| 11:00 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 16 | ZZW 201° | 3.8 |
| 12:00 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 17 | Z 186° | 2.2 |
| 13:00 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 17 | ZZW 194° | 3.4 |
| 14:00 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 18 | ZZW 192° | 4.2 |
| 15:00 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 18 | Z 179° | 2.7 |
| 16:00 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 17 | ZZO 168° | 2.1 |
| 17:00 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 16 | ZZO 159° | 0.6 |
| 18:00 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 14 | ZZO 147° | 1.5 |
| 19:00 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 14 | ZZO 148° | 0.8 |
| 20:00 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 15 | ZO 136° | 1.3 |
dinsdag 13 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 23 | Z 184° | 5.8 |
| 09:00 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 22 | Z 185° | 3.5 |
| 10:00 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 22 | Z 188° | 2.8 |
| 11:00 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 23 | Z 188° | 2.2 |
| 12:00 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 24 | ZZW 195° | 3.3 |
| 13:00 | 21 | 18 | 15 | 19 | 24 | ZZW 197° | 5.2 |
| 14:00 | 21 | 17 | 15 | 19 | 25 | ZZW 203° | 6.2 |
| 15:00 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 26 | ZZW 211° | 5.5 |
| 16:00 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 21 | 28 | ZW 224° | 3.7 |
| 17:00 | 25 | 23 | 19 | 23 | 31 | WZW 238° | 5.9 |
| 18:00 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 21 | 31 | WZW 254° | 4.5 |
| 19:00 | 23 | 22 | 16 | 21 | 31 | WNW 283° | 7.2 |
| 20:00 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 19 | 29 | WNW 285° | 3.1 |
woensdag 14 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 13 | 11 | 12 | 18 | WNW 290° | 2.4 |
| 09:00 | – | 12 | 10 | 11 | 16 | WNW 286° | 2.0 |
| 10:00 | – | 9 | 9 | 9 | 15 | W 274° | 0.5 |
| 11:00 | – | 10 | 8 | 9 | 13 | W 266° | 1.9 |
| 12:00 | – | 10 | 8 | 9 | 13 | WZW 255° | 2.4 |
| 13:00 | – | 11 | 9 | 10 | 14 | WZW 243° | 2.5 |
| 14:00 | – | 12 | 10 | 11 | 15 | ZW 235° | 2.4 |
| 15:00 | – | 12 | 10 | 11 | 16 | ZW 235° | 2.0 |
| 16:00 | – | 11 | 10 | 11 | 15 | ZW 228° | 1.8 |
| 17:00 | – | 11 | 10 | 11 | 15 | ZW 227° | 1.6 |
| 18:00 | – | 13 | 10 | 12 | 17 | ZW 222° | 2.6 |
| 19:00 | – | 11 | 11 | 11 | 17 | ZZW 212° | 0.5 |
| 20:00 | – | 12 | 12 | 12 | 16 | ZZW 207° | 0.7 |
donderdag 15 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 16 | 13 | 15 | 22 | ZZW 203° | 2.8 |
| 09:00 | – | 16 | 13 | 15 | 22 | ZZW 202° | 3.2 |
| 10:00 | – | 16 | 12 | 15 | 21 | ZZW 202° | 4.0 |
| 11:00 | – | 16 | 12 | 15 | 20 | ZZW 202° | 4.3 |
| 12:00 | – | 16 | 12 | 14 | 21 | ZZW 201° | 4.0 |
| 13:00 | – | 15 | 12 | 14 | 22 | ZZW 201° | 3.2 |
| 14:00 | – | 14 | 12 | 13 | 23 | ZZW 200° | 2.6 |
| 15:00 | – | 14 | 12 | 13 | 23 | ZZW 197° | 2.1 |
| 16:00 | – | 13 | 11 | 13 | 22 | ZZW 193° | 1.8 |
| 17:00 | – | 13 | 11 | 12 | 22 | Z 191° | 1.4 |
| 18:00 | – | 12 | 11 | 12 | 21 | Z 191° | 1.2 |
| 19:00 | – | 12 | 11 | 12 | 21 | ZZW 193° | 1.4 |
| 20:00 | – | 12 | 11 | 12 | 20 | ZZW 195° | 1.5 |
vrijdag 16 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 18 | 9 | 14 | 21 | WNW 297° | 8.4 |
| 09:00 | – | 20 | 10 | 16 | 22 | WNW 296° | 9.5 |
| 10:00 | – | 19 | 11 | 16 | 24 | WNW 294° | 7.6 |
| 11:00 | – | 18 | 12 | 15 | 24 | WNW 292° | 6.0 |
| 12:00 | – | 18 | 12 | 16 | 24 | WNW 289° | 5.3 |
| 13:00 | – | 18 | 12 | 16 | 24 | WNW 284° | 5.3 |
| 14:00 | – | 18 | 11 | 15 | 23 | W 281° | 7.2 |
| 15:00 | – | 17 | 6 | 13 | 23 | WNW 282° | 11.4 |
| 16:00 | – | 17 | 4 | 12 | 23 | NW 315° | 12.4 |
| 17:00 | – | 16 | 10 | 14 | 23 | NNW 327° | 6.4 |
| 18:00 | – | 16 | 14 | 16 | 25 | NNW 330° | 2.0 |
| 19:00 | – | 17 | 19 | 18 | 28 | NNW 332° | 1.5 |
| 20:00 | – | 18 | 21 | 19 | 29 | NNW 335° | 3.4 |
zaterdag 17 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 17 | 19 | 18 | 27 | N 356° | 1.7 |
| 09:00 | – | 17 | 18 | 17 | 27 | N 355° | 0.9 |
| 10:00 | – | 16 | 16 | 16 | 28 | N 351° | 0.0 |
| 11:00 | – | 16 | 16 | 16 | 28 | NNW 348° | 0.2 |
| 12:00 | – | 16 | 16 | 16 | 27 | NNW 348° | 0.5 |
| 13:00 | – | 15 | 17 | 16 | 27 | NNW 348° | 1.8 |
| 14:00 | – | 14 | 18 | 16 | 27 | N 349° | 3.3 |
| 15:00 | – | 14 | 19 | 16 | 26 | NNW 348° | 5.0 |
| 16:00 | – | 12 | 19 | 15 | 24 | NNW 348° | 7.0 |
| 17:00 | – | 11 | 20 | 15 | 23 | NNW 347° | 8.4 |
| 18:00 | – | 11 | 20 | 14 | 22 | NNW 347° | 9.4 |
| 19:00 | – | 10 | 20 | 14 | 22 | NNW 346° | 10.1 |
| 20:00 | – | 10 | 20 | 14 | 22 | NNW 346° | 10.4 |