Drie modellen, één voorspelling.
Per uur mengen we KNMI Harmonie (50%), DWD ICON (30%) en ECMWF (20%). Zijn ze het oneens, dan zakt de betrouwbaarheid. Harmonie rekent ongeveer 2,5 dag vooruit, daarna nemen de andere twee het over.
Nu gemeten tegenover voorspeld
Live 10-minutenmeting van Rijkswaterstaat naast de modelwaarde voor dit uur op dezelfde plek.
| Station | Gemeten | KNMI Harmonie | DWD ICON | ECMWF IFS | Mix | Richting gemeten / mix |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Helder De Kooy (19:50) | 5 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | WNW / NW (11° verschil) |
| Hoek van Holland (19:40) | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | W / W (5° verschil) |
| Houtribdijk IJsselmeer (19:50) | 9 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | WNW / WNW (13° verschil) |
| IJmuiden buitenhaven (19:50) | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | WNW / WNW (17° verschil) |
| Markermeer midden (19:50) | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 10 | WZW / W (26° verschil) |
| Stavoren IJsselmeer (19:40) | 10 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 11 | WNW / WNW (3° verschil) |
Per spot, per uur
Kies een spot. Knopen per model, de mix, en hoe ver de modellen uit elkaar liggen.
KNMI Harmonie (2 km)
Gemiddeld 1.1 kn van de mix, over 39 uur.
DWD ICON (2–13 km)
Gemiddeld 1.7 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
ECMWF IFS (25 km)
Gemiddeld 2.0 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
zondag 11 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 17 | WZW 246° | 10.4 |
| 09:00 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 17 | W 262° | 5.3 |
| 10:00 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 19 | W 272° | 6.8 |
| 11:00 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 13 | 19 | WNW 285° | 8.0 |
| 12:00 | 18 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 21 | W 281° | 7.8 |
| 13:00 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 21 | W 279° | 2.9 |
| 14:00 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 23 | WNW 286° | 5.1 |
| 15:00 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 20 | WNW 284° | 6.1 |
| 16:00 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 19 | WNW 282° | 1.3 |
| 17:00 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 17 | WNW 285° | 2.0 |
| 18:00 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 15 | W 274° | 1.1 |
| 19:00 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 13 | W 275° | 2.1 |
| 20:00 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 12 | WZW 244° | 3.7 |
maandag 12 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 9 | ZZW 193° | 1.3 |
| 09:00 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 10 | Z 188° | 2.9 |
| 10:00 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 11 | Z 175° | 1.8 |
| 11:00 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 12 | Z 181° | 1.5 |
| 12:00 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 12 | Z 173° | 2.3 |
| 13:00 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 12 | Z 169° | 2.7 |
| 14:00 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 12 | Z 173° | 4.1 |
| 15:00 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 12 | ZZO 167° | 2.9 |
| 16:00 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 13 | ZZO 160° | 1.9 |
| 17:00 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 13 | ZZO 150° | 2.6 |
| 18:00 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 13 | ZO 141° | 4.3 |
| 19:00 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 12 | ZO 137° | 4.2 |
| 20:00 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 14 | ZO 136° | 2.7 |
dinsdag 13 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 17 | Z 183° | 1.5 |
| 09:00 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 16 | Z 187° | 2.5 |
| 10:00 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 17 | Z 189° | 3.3 |
| 11:00 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 17 | Z 191° | 4.0 |
| 12:00 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 13 | 18 | ZZW 197° | 3.6 |
| 13:00 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 19 | ZZW 207° | 4.2 |
| 14:00 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 20 | ZZW 211° | 4.0 |
| 15:00 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 21 | ZW 215° | 2.3 |
| 16:00 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 23 | ZW 227° | 3.3 |
| 17:00 | 13 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 23 | WZW 237° | 5.5 |
| 18:00 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 24 | WZW 251° | 1.9 |
| 19:00 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 24 | W 271° | 7.0 |
| 20:00 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 21 | WNW 282° | 8.9 |
woensdag 14 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 4 | 7 | 5 | 8 | WZW 257° | 2.3 |
| 09:00 | – | 4 | 6 | 5 | 8 | WZW 240° | 1.5 |
| 10:00 | – | 6 | 6 | 6 | 9 | ZW 226° | 0.1 |
| 11:00 | – | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | ZW 221° | 0.2 |
| 12:00 | – | 7 | 7 | 7 | 11 | ZW 229° | 0.4 |
| 13:00 | – | 8 | 7 | 8 | 12 | ZW 231° | 0.7 |
| 14:00 | – | 8 | 8 | 8 | 12 | ZW 231° | 0.7 |
| 15:00 | – | 8 | 8 | 8 | 12 | ZW 232° | 0.5 |
| 16:00 | – | 8 | 8 | 8 | 12 | ZW 223° | 0.4 |
| 17:00 | – | 8 | 8 | 8 | 12 | ZW 220° | 0.2 |
| 18:00 | – | 7 | 8 | 7 | 12 | ZW 214° | 1.3 |
| 19:00 | – | 5 | 7 | 6 | 10 | ZZW 202° | 2.7 |
| 20:00 | – | 6 | 7 | 6 | 10 | ZZW 192° | 1.4 |
donderdag 15 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 11 | 11 | 11 | 18 | Z 190° | 0.4 |
| 09:00 | – | 11 | 11 | 11 | 18 | ZZW 192° | 0.1 |
| 10:00 | – | 11 | 12 | 11 | 17 | ZZW 197° | 0.2 |
| 11:00 | – | 11 | 12 | 11 | 17 | ZZW 200° | 0.7 |
| 12:00 | – | 11 | 12 | 11 | 17 | ZZW 201° | 1.3 |
| 13:00 | – | 11 | 13 | 12 | 18 | ZZW 201° | 1.8 |
| 14:00 | – | 11 | 13 | 11 | 19 | ZZW 199° | 2.0 |
| 15:00 | – | 10 | 12 | 11 | 19 | ZZW 198° | 1.8 |
| 16:00 | – | 10 | 11 | 11 | 19 | ZZW 197° | 1.2 |
| 17:00 | – | 10 | 11 | 10 | 19 | ZZW 196° | 1.0 |
| 18:00 | – | 9 | 11 | 10 | 18 | ZZW 194° | 1.5 |
| 19:00 | – | 8 | 10 | 9 | 16 | ZZW 192° | 2.3 |
| 20:00 | – | 8 | 10 | 9 | 16 | Z 190° | 2.4 |
vrijdag 16 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 9 | 10 | 10 | 15 | ZZW 197° | 0.4 |
| 09:00 | – | 6 | 10 | 8 | 16 | ZW 215° | 4.7 |
| 10:00 | – | 6 | 11 | 8 | 17 | W 266° | 5.1 |
| 11:00 | – | 10 | 12 | 11 | 18 | WNW 290° | 1.3 |
| 12:00 | – | 13 | 11 | 12 | 20 | WNW 294° | 1.8 |
| 13:00 | – | 14 | 10 | 13 | 20 | WNW 291° | 3.6 |
| 14:00 | – | 15 | 10 | 13 | 21 | WNW 289° | 4.9 |
| 15:00 | – | 15 | 10 | 13 | 21 | WNW 288° | 4.9 |
| 16:00 | – | 15 | 11 | 13 | 21 | WNW 289° | 3.8 |
| 17:00 | – | 15 | 11 | 13 | 21 | WNW 291° | 4.0 |
| 18:00 | – | 14 | 8 | 12 | 23 | WNW 303° | 6.3 |
| 19:00 | – | 14 | 10 | 13 | 25 | NW 322° | 3.6 |
| 20:00 | – | 14 | 16 | 14 | 26 | NNW 328° | 2.1 |
zaterdag 17 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 11 | 20 | 15 | 20 | NNW 347° | 8.7 |
| 09:00 | – | 12 | 19 | 15 | 21 | N 351° | 7.0 |
| 10:00 | – | 13 | 18 | 15 | 22 | N 354° | 4.7 |
| 11:00 | – | 14 | 18 | 16 | 23 | N 355° | 3.7 |
| 12:00 | – | 14 | 18 | 16 | 23 | N 354° | 4.1 |
| 13:00 | – | 14 | 19 | 16 | 23 | N 353° | 5.3 |
| 14:00 | – | 13 | 20 | 16 | 22 | N 352° | 6.6 |
| 15:00 | – | 12 | 20 | 15 | 22 | N 352° | 8.1 |
| 16:00 | – | 11 | 21 | 15 | 21 | N 354° | 9.6 |
| 17:00 | – | 10 | 21 | 14 | 21 | N 354° | 10.6 |
| 18:00 | – | 10 | 21 | 15 | 21 | N 352° | 10.5 |
| 19:00 | – | 11 | 21 | 15 | 21 | N 349° | 9.9 |
| 20:00 | – | 11 | 20 | 14 | 20 | NNW 348° | 9.7 |