Drie modellen, één voorspelling.
Per uur mengen we KNMI Harmonie (50%), DWD ICON (30%) en ECMWF (20%). Zijn ze het oneens, dan zakt de betrouwbaarheid. Harmonie rekent ongeveer 2,5 dag vooruit, daarna nemen de andere twee het over.
Nu gemeten tegenover voorspeld
Live 10-minutenmeting van Rijkswaterstaat naast de modelwaarde voor dit uur op dezelfde plek.
| Station | Gemeten | KNMI Harmonie | DWD ICON | ECMWF IFS | Mix | Richting gemeten / mix |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Helder De Kooy (19:50) | 5 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | WNW / NW (11° verschil) |
| Hoek van Holland (19:40) | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | W / W (5° verschil) |
| Houtribdijk IJsselmeer (19:50) | 9 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | WNW / WNW (13° verschil) |
| IJmuiden buitenhaven (19:50) | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | WNW / WNW (17° verschil) |
| Markermeer midden (19:50) | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 10 | WZW / W (26° verschil) |
| Stavoren IJsselmeer (19:40) | 10 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 11 | WNW / WNW (3° verschil) |
Per spot, per uur
Kies een spot. Knopen per model, de mix, en hoe ver de modellen uit elkaar liggen.
KNMI Harmonie (2 km)
Gemiddeld 1.0 kn van de mix, over 39 uur.
DWD ICON (2–13 km)
Gemiddeld 1.3 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
ECMWF IFS (25 km)
Gemiddeld 1.9 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
zondag 11 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 31 | WNW 294° | 2.9 |
| 09:00 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 20 | 29 | WNW 289° | 3.3 |
| 10:00 | 24 | 18 | 18 | 21 | 30 | WNW 296° | 6.0 |
| 11:00 | 21 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 28 | WNW 300° | 3.8 |
| 12:00 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 28 | WNW 301° | 3.0 |
| 13:00 | 22 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 29 | WNW 290° | 5.4 |
| 14:00 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 19 | 28 | NW 306° | 4.3 |
| 15:00 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 26 | NW 308° | 3.1 |
| 16:00 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 23 | NW 311° | 0.9 |
| 17:00 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 21 | NW 308° | 2.4 |
| 18:00 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 20 | NW 311° | 1.0 |
| 19:00 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 17 | NW 313° | 1.5 |
| 20:00 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 16 | NW 309° | 2.2 |
maandag 12 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 10 | ZZO 168° | 2.9 |
| 09:00 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 12 | Z 171° | 1.1 |
| 10:00 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 14 | Z 173° | 0.8 |
| 11:00 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 15 | Z 175° | 1.0 |
| 12:00 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 16 | Z 177° | 1.1 |
| 13:00 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 17 | Z 174° | 0.6 |
| 14:00 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 17 | Z 175° | 2.8 |
| 15:00 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 16 | Z 170° | 1.6 |
| 16:00 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 17 | ZZO 161° | 0.6 |
| 17:00 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 17 | ZZO 157° | 2.4 |
| 18:00 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 17 | ZZO 150° | 2.7 |
| 19:00 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 17 | ZO 145° | 1.8 |
| 20:00 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 18 | ZO 145° | 3.6 |
dinsdag 13 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 18 | Z 183° | 2.6 |
| 09:00 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 19 | Z 183° | 2.5 |
| 10:00 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 20 | Z 183° | 2.9 |
| 11:00 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 22 | ZZW 192° | 3.1 |
| 12:00 | 10 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 24 | ZZW 203° | 8.9 |
| 13:00 | 20 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 30 | ZZW 213° | 3.0 |
| 14:00 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 32 | ZW 216° | 2.6 |
| 15:00 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 33 | ZW 218° | 2.3 |
| 16:00 | 22 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 34 | ZW 229° | 2.3 |
| 17:00 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 33 | WZW 247° | 3.1 |
| 18:00 | 25 | 19 | 17 | 21 | 34 | W 271° | 7.7 |
| 19:00 | 22 | 19 | 15 | 19 | 31 | WNW 284° | 6.2 |
| 20:00 | 20 | 20 | 15 | 19 | 30 | WNW 285° | 5.0 |
woensdag 14 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 10 | 9 | 10 | 17 | WNW 291° | 1.0 |
| 09:00 | – | 9 | 8 | 9 | 15 | WNW 283° | 1.1 |
| 10:00 | – | 8 | 8 | 8 | 14 | W 265° | 0.0 |
| 11:00 | – | 8 | 7 | 8 | 12 | WZW 256° | 0.9 |
| 12:00 | – | 9 | 7 | 8 | 14 | WZW 245° | 1.6 |
| 13:00 | – | 9 | 8 | 9 | 15 | ZW 235° | 1.0 |
| 14:00 | – | 11 | 9 | 10 | 16 | ZW 230° | 1.3 |
| 15:00 | – | 11 | 10 | 11 | 17 | ZW 228° | 1.1 |
| 16:00 | – | 13 | 11 | 12 | 19 | ZW 224° | 2.2 |
| 17:00 | – | 13 | 11 | 12 | 19 | ZW 223° | 1.6 |
| 18:00 | – | 13 | 12 | 13 | 20 | ZW 222° | 1.5 |
| 19:00 | – | 13 | 12 | 13 | 20 | ZW 216° | 0.8 |
| 20:00 | – | 12 | 13 | 12 | 19 | ZZW 210° | 0.2 |
donderdag 15 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 13 | 12 | 13 | 23 | ZZW 209° | 1.1 |
| 09:00 | – | 14 | 12 | 13 | 22 | ZZW 208° | 1.1 |
| 10:00 | – | 14 | 13 | 14 | 22 | ZZW 209° | 0.8 |
| 11:00 | – | 14 | 14 | 14 | 22 | ZZW 208° | 0.6 |
| 12:00 | – | 15 | 14 | 15 | 24 | ZZW 207° | 0.8 |
| 13:00 | – | 15 | 14 | 15 | 26 | ZZW 207° | 0.8 |
| 14:00 | – | 15 | 14 | 15 | 28 | ZZW 206° | 0.6 |
| 15:00 | – | 15 | 15 | 15 | 29 | ZZW 205° | 0.1 |
| 16:00 | – | 14 | 15 | 14 | 28 | ZZW 205° | 0.9 |
| 17:00 | – | 13 | 15 | 14 | 28 | ZZW 204° | 1.3 |
| 18:00 | – | 13 | 14 | 13 | 27 | ZZW 203° | 0.9 |
| 19:00 | – | 13 | 13 | 13 | 25 | ZZW 202° | 0.3 |
| 20:00 | – | 13 | 12 | 12 | 25 | ZZW 202° | 0.3 |
vrijdag 16 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 16 | 10 | 14 | 22 | NW 325° | 5.7 |
| 09:00 | – | 17 | 10 | 15 | 23 | NW 320° | 7.2 |
| 10:00 | – | 16 | 10 | 14 | 25 | WNW 303° | 6.1 |
| 11:00 | – | 16 | 10 | 13 | 26 | WNW 290° | 6.1 |
| 12:00 | – | 16 | 9 | 13 | 26 | WNW 286° | 6.7 |
| 13:00 | – | 16 | 10 | 14 | 25 | WNW 287° | 6.7 |
| 14:00 | – | 16 | 9 | 13 | 25 | WNW 289° | 7.9 |
| 15:00 | – | 16 | 6 | 12 | 25 | WNW 300° | 10.9 |
| 16:00 | – | 17 | 7 | 13 | 25 | NW 323° | 10.0 |
| 17:00 | – | 17 | 12 | 15 | 26 | NNW 330° | 5.0 |
| 18:00 | – | 16 | 16 | 16 | 27 | NNW 331° | 0.5 |
| 19:00 | – | 16 | 19 | 17 | 28 | NNW 333° | 3.1 |
| 20:00 | – | 16 | 21 | 18 | 29 | NNW 336° | 5.1 |
zaterdag 17 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 16 | 17 | 16 | 26 | N 357° | 1.4 |
| 09:00 | – | 16 | 16 | 16 | 26 | N 355° | 0.8 |
| 10:00 | – | 15 | 16 | 16 | 26 | N 352° | 0.2 |
| 11:00 | – | 15 | 16 | 15 | 27 | N 349° | 0.5 |
| 12:00 | – | 14 | 16 | 15 | 26 | N 350° | 1.6 |
| 13:00 | – | 13 | 17 | 15 | 26 | N 351° | 3.3 |
| 14:00 | – | 12 | 17 | 14 | 25 | N 352° | 4.8 |
| 15:00 | – | 12 | 18 | 14 | 24 | N 352° | 5.7 |
| 16:00 | – | 12 | 18 | 14 | 24 | N 350° | 5.8 |
| 17:00 | – | 11 | 18 | 14 | 23 | N 349° | 6.5 |
| 18:00 | – | 11 | 18 | 14 | 22 | N 349° | 7.5 |
| 19:00 | – | 10 | 18 | 13 | 22 | N 349° | 8.5 |
| 20:00 | – | 9 | 18 | 13 | 21 | N 349° | 9.7 |