Drie modellen, één voorspelling.
Per uur mengen we KNMI Harmonie (50%), DWD ICON (30%) en ECMWF (20%). Zijn ze het oneens, dan zakt de betrouwbaarheid. Harmonie rekent ongeveer 2,5 dag vooruit, daarna nemen de andere twee het over.
Nu gemeten tegenover voorspeld
Live 10-minutenmeting van Rijkswaterstaat naast de modelwaarde voor dit uur op dezelfde plek.
| Station | Gemeten | KNMI Harmonie | DWD ICON | ECMWF IFS | Mix | Richting gemeten / mix |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Helder De Kooy (19:50) | 5 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | WNW / NW (11° verschil) |
| Hoek van Holland (19:40) | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | W / W (5° verschil) |
| Houtribdijk IJsselmeer (19:50) | 9 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | WNW / WNW (13° verschil) |
| IJmuiden buitenhaven (19:50) | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | WNW / WNW (17° verschil) |
| Markermeer midden (19:50) | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 10 | WZW / W (26° verschil) |
| Stavoren IJsselmeer (19:40) | 10 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 11 | WNW / WNW (3° verschil) |
Per spot, per uur
Kies een spot. Knopen per model, de mix, en hoe ver de modellen uit elkaar liggen.
KNMI Harmonie (2 km)
Gemiddeld 0.9 kn van de mix, over 39 uur.
DWD ICON (2–13 km)
Gemiddeld 1.4 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
ECMWF IFS (25 km)
Gemiddeld 1.8 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
zondag 11 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 18 | W 271° | 4.8 |
| 09:00 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 17 | W 278° | 1.3 |
| 10:00 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 19 | WNW 288° | 10.6 |
| 11:00 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 14 | WNW 282° | 2.9 |
| 12:00 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 21 | W 269° | 2.9 |
| 13:00 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 21 | WNW 297° | 3.8 |
| 14:00 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 18 | WNW 293° | 2.2 |
| 15:00 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 19 | WNW 288° | 2.1 |
| 16:00 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 17 | WNW 283° | 1.5 |
| 17:00 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 16 | WNW 297° | 4.2 |
| 18:00 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 14 | WNW 292° | 2.7 |
| 19:00 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 12 | W 280° | 1.6 |
| 20:00 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 10 | W 272° | 2.2 |
maandag 12 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 12 | ZW 215° | 4.3 |
| 09:00 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 14 | ZZW 206° | 5.1 |
| 10:00 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 17 | Z 190° | 6.3 |
| 11:00 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 17 | ZZW 199° | 3.4 |
| 12:00 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 16 | Z 191° | 3.9 |
| 13:00 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 17 | Z 174° | 3.4 |
| 14:00 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 17 | Z 172° | 2.1 |
| 15:00 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 16 | Z 170° | 1.7 |
| 16:00 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 15 | ZZO 165° | 1.7 |
| 17:00 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 16 | ZZO 161° | 2.6 |
| 18:00 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 18 | ZZO 153° | 3.7 |
| 19:00 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 19 | ZO 143° | 3.8 |
| 20:00 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 21 | ZO 142° | 4.5 |
dinsdag 13 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 16 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 22 | Z 191° | 5.1 |
| 09:00 | 15 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 22 | ZZW 196° | 5.0 |
| 10:00 | 16 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 22 | ZZW 193° | 5.9 |
| 11:00 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 22 | ZZW 195° | 4.1 |
| 12:00 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 21 | ZZW 198° | 3.1 |
| 13:00 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 21 | ZZW 204° | 2.1 |
| 14:00 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 20 | ZZW 208° | 2.5 |
| 15:00 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 22 | ZW 220° | 3.6 |
| 16:00 | 17 | 20 | 16 | 18 | 24 | ZW 231° | 3.5 |
| 17:00 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 27 | WZW 242° | 3.2 |
| 18:00 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 18 | 27 | W 259° | 3.6 |
| 19:00 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 26 | W 280° | 5.5 |
| 20:00 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 21 | W 281° | 3.9 |
woensdag 14 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 5 | 7 | 6 | 9 | W 268° | 1.2 |
| 09:00 | – | 5 | 6 | 5 | 9 | WZW 256° | 0.7 |
| 10:00 | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 9 | WZW 239° | 0.6 |
| 11:00 | – | 7 | 5 | 6 | 10 | ZW 229° | 1.9 |
| 12:00 | – | 8 | 6 | 7 | 11 | ZW 231° | 2.3 |
| 13:00 | – | 9 | 7 | 8 | 12 | WZW 237° | 1.9 |
| 14:00 | – | 9 | 8 | 9 | 12 | ZW 234° | 1.1 |
| 15:00 | – | 10 | 8 | 9 | 13 | WZW 237° | 2.1 |
| 16:00 | – | 10 | 8 | 9 | 13 | ZW 229° | 2.3 |
| 17:00 | – | 9 | 8 | 9 | 13 | ZW 230° | 1.6 |
| 18:00 | – | 8 | 8 | 8 | 12 | ZW 227° | 0.4 |
| 19:00 | – | 6 | 7 | 6 | 11 | ZW 222° | 1.6 |
| 20:00 | – | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | ZZW 202° | 0.7 |
donderdag 15 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 15 | 11 | 13 | 21 | ZZW 198° | 4.0 |
| 09:00 | – | 14 | 11 | 13 | 20 | ZZW 199° | 3.8 |
| 10:00 | – | 14 | 10 | 13 | 19 | ZZW 200° | 3.5 |
| 11:00 | – | 13 | 11 | 12 | 19 | ZZW 202° | 2.9 |
| 12:00 | – | 13 | 11 | 12 | 18 | ZZW 202° | 2.0 |
| 13:00 | – | 12 | 11 | 12 | 18 | ZZW 201° | 0.9 |
| 14:00 | – | 12 | 12 | 12 | 18 | ZZW 199° | 0.1 |
| 15:00 | – | 11 | 12 | 11 | 19 | ZZW 197° | 0.5 |
| 16:00 | – | 11 | 11 | 11 | 19 | ZZW 194° | 0.4 |
| 17:00 | – | 11 | 11 | 11 | 19 | ZZW 192° | 0.7 |
| 18:00 | – | 10 | 11 | 11 | 18 | ZZW 192° | 0.9 |
| 19:00 | – | 10 | 11 | 10 | 18 | ZZW 194° | 0.9 |
| 20:00 | – | 10 | 10 | 10 | 18 | ZZW 195° | 0.8 |
vrijdag 16 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 9 | 10 | 10 | 16 | ZZW 211° | 0.9 |
| 09:00 | – | 6 | 11 | 8 | 16 | ZW 234° | 4.5 |
| 10:00 | – | 8 | 12 | 10 | 17 | W 276° | 3.9 |
| 11:00 | – | 12 | 13 | 12 | 18 | WNW 293° | 0.2 |
| 12:00 | – | 15 | 12 | 14 | 20 | WNW 294° | 2.4 |
| 13:00 | – | 16 | 11 | 14 | 20 | WNW 290° | 4.3 |
| 14:00 | – | 16 | 10 | 14 | 21 | WNW 287° | 6.1 |
| 15:00 | – | 17 | 8 | 13 | 21 | WNW 287° | 8.4 |
| 16:00 | – | 17 | 8 | 13 | 20 | WNW 293° | 9.2 |
| 17:00 | – | 17 | 8 | 13 | 21 | WNW 302° | 9.0 |
| 18:00 | – | 16 | 9 | 13 | 23 | NW 317° | 7.5 |
| 19:00 | – | 16 | 14 | 15 | 25 | NNW 327° | 2.0 |
| 20:00 | – | 15 | 19 | 17 | 27 | NNW 330° | 3.4 |
zaterdag 17 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 13 | 18 | 15 | 22 | N 350° | 4.6 |
| 09:00 | – | 14 | 17 | 15 | 22 | N 352° | 2.8 |
| 10:00 | – | 15 | 16 | 16 | 23 | N 353° | 0.5 |
| 11:00 | – | 16 | 16 | 16 | 24 | N 353° | 0.6 |
| 12:00 | – | 16 | 16 | 16 | 23 | N 352° | 0.2 |
| 13:00 | – | 15 | 17 | 16 | 23 | N 352° | 1.7 |
| 14:00 | – | 14 | 18 | 16 | 22 | N 351° | 3.6 |
| 15:00 | – | 13 | 19 | 16 | 22 | N 352° | 5.3 |
| 16:00 | – | 12 | 19 | 15 | 21 | N 354° | 7.1 |
| 17:00 | – | 11 | 20 | 15 | 20 | N 354° | 8.3 |
| 18:00 | – | 12 | 20 | 15 | 20 | N 352° | 8.3 |
| 19:00 | – | 12 | 20 | 15 | 21 | N 351° | 7.9 |
| 20:00 | – | 12 | 20 | 15 | 20 | N 350° | 7.7 |