Drie modellen, één voorspelling.
Per uur mengen we KNMI Harmonie (50%), DWD ICON (30%) en ECMWF (20%). Zijn ze het oneens, dan zakt de betrouwbaarheid. Harmonie rekent ongeveer 2,5 dag vooruit, daarna nemen de andere twee het over.
Nu gemeten tegenover voorspeld
Live 10-minutenmeting van Rijkswaterstaat naast de modelwaarde voor dit uur op dezelfde plek.
| Station | Gemeten | KNMI Harmonie | DWD ICON | ECMWF IFS | Mix | Richting gemeten / mix |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Helder De Kooy (19:50) | 5 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | WNW / NW (11° verschil) |
| Hoek van Holland (19:40) | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | W / W (5° verschil) |
| Houtribdijk IJsselmeer (19:50) | 9 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | WNW / WNW (13° verschil) |
| IJmuiden buitenhaven (19:50) | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | WNW / WNW (17° verschil) |
| Markermeer midden (19:50) | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 10 | WZW / W (26° verschil) |
| Stavoren IJsselmeer (19:40) | 10 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 11 | WNW / WNW (3° verschil) |
Per spot, per uur
Kies een spot. Knopen per model, de mix, en hoe ver de modellen uit elkaar liggen.
KNMI Harmonie (2 km)
Gemiddeld 1.0 kn van de mix, over 39 uur.
DWD ICON (2–13 km)
Gemiddeld 1.5 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
ECMWF IFS (25 km)
Gemiddeld 2.2 kn van de mix, over 104 uur.
zondag 11 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 31 | WNW 288° | 1.6 |
| 09:00 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 30 | WNW 291° | 2.1 |
| 10:00 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 29 | WNW 295° | 2.4 |
| 11:00 | 21 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 31 | WNW 285° | 3.0 |
| 12:00 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 30 | WNW 295° | 1.6 |
| 13:00 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 29 | WNW 300° | 1.1 |
| 14:00 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 28 | WNW 302° | 0.8 |
| 15:00 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 26 | WNW 302° | 0.3 |
| 16:00 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 23 | NW 304° | 0.9 |
| 17:00 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 22 | NW 308° | 0.3 |
| 18:00 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 20 | NW 306° | 1.5 |
| 19:00 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 18 | NW 304° | 0.9 |
| 20:00 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 16 | NW 307° | 0.5 |
maandag 12 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | ZZO 160° | 4.3 |
| 09:00 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 14 | Z 171° | 3.4 |
| 10:00 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 15 | ZZO 166° | 3.1 |
| 11:00 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 15 | ZZO 166° | 3.5 |
| 12:00 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 16 | ZZO 162° | 3.8 |
| 13:00 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 16 | ZZO 167° | 4.7 |
| 14:00 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 17 | ZZO 167° | 5.9 |
| 15:00 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 16 | ZZO 165° | 5.4 |
| 16:00 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 16 | ZZO 160° | 3.6 |
| 17:00 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 17 | ZZO 155° | 2.8 |
| 18:00 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 16 | ZZO 147° | 4.3 |
| 19:00 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 16 | ZO 140° | 3.2 |
| 20:00 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 17 | ZO 143° | 3.1 |
dinsdag 13 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 12 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 21 | Z 191° | 8.2 |
| 09:00 | 12 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 22 | Z 189° | 7.8 |
| 10:00 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 21 | Z 188° | 6.2 |
| 11:00 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 25 | ZZW 213° | 0.4 |
| 12:00 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 28 | ZW 214° | 2.1 |
| 13:00 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 29 | ZZW 212° | 1.6 |
| 14:00 | 23 | 25 | 22 | 23 | 31 | ZW 214° | 2.6 |
| 15:00 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 32 | ZW 219° | 2.1 |
| 16:00 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 32 | ZW 228° | 0.6 |
| 17:00 | 23 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 31 | WZW 241° | 3.9 |
| 18:00 | 24 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 31 | W 263° | 8.3 |
| 19:00 | 21 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 29 | WNW 285° | 6.6 |
| 20:00 | 17 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 26 | WNW 285° | 3.9 |
woensdag 14 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 8 | 11 | 9 | 16 | WNW 289° | 3.1 |
| 09:00 | – | 7 | 10 | 8 | 14 | WNW 283° | 2.2 |
| 10:00 | – | 6 | 9 | 7 | 13 | W 261° | 2.3 |
| 11:00 | – | 7 | 9 | 8 | 12 | WZW 248° | 1.2 |
| 12:00 | – | 8 | 9 | 8 | 13 | WZW 237° | 1.1 |
| 13:00 | – | 9 | 10 | 9 | 14 | ZW 231° | 0.9 |
| 14:00 | – | 9 | 11 | 10 | 15 | ZW 228° | 1.3 |
| 15:00 | – | 10 | 12 | 11 | 17 | ZW 226° | 1.5 |
| 16:00 | – | 11 | 13 | 12 | 18 | ZW 221° | 2.3 |
| 17:00 | – | 11 | 14 | 12 | 19 | ZW 221° | 3.2 |
| 18:00 | – | 11 | 15 | 12 | 19 | ZW 219° | 4.1 |
| 19:00 | – | 10 | 15 | 12 | 19 | ZW 214° | 5.3 |
| 20:00 | – | 9 | 16 | 12 | 18 | ZZW 208° | 6.6 |
donderdag 15 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 12 | 15 | 13 | 23 | ZZW 200° | 3.8 |
| 09:00 | – | 12 | 15 | 13 | 23 | ZZW 201° | 3.9 |
| 10:00 | – | 11 | 16 | 13 | 21 | ZZW 203° | 4.3 |
| 11:00 | – | 11 | 16 | 13 | 21 | ZZW 205° | 4.5 |
| 12:00 | – | 11 | 17 | 13 | 22 | ZZW 205° | 5.1 |
| 13:00 | – | 12 | 17 | 14 | 24 | ZZW 204° | 5.5 |
| 14:00 | – | 12 | 18 | 14 | 26 | ZZW 203° | 6.1 |
| 15:00 | – | 12 | 18 | 14 | 26 | ZZW 204° | 6.1 |
| 16:00 | – | 11 | 17 | 14 | 26 | ZZW 203° | 6.1 |
| 17:00 | – | 11 | 17 | 14 | 25 | ZZW 202° | 5.9 |
| 18:00 | – | 11 | 16 | 13 | 25 | ZZW 200° | 5.2 |
| 19:00 | – | 11 | 15 | 12 | 24 | ZZW 197° | 4.0 |
| 20:00 | – | 11 | 14 | 12 | 23 | ZZW 196° | 3.6 |
vrijdag 16 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 15 | 15 | 15 | 23 | NW 317° | 0.7 |
| 09:00 | – | 17 | 15 | 16 | 24 | NW 315° | 1.7 |
| 10:00 | – | 17 | 16 | 16 | 26 | NW 306° | 0.9 |
| 11:00 | – | 16 | 16 | 16 | 27 | WNW 297° | 0.3 |
| 12:00 | – | 17 | 16 | 17 | 27 | WNW 290° | 0.4 |
| 13:00 | – | 18 | 17 | 17 | 26 | WNW 284° | 0.7 |
| 14:00 | – | 19 | 15 | 17 | 26 | WNW 283° | 3.8 |
| 15:00 | – | 20 | 8 | 15 | 26 | WNW 284° | 11.1 |
| 16:00 | – | 20 | 5 | 14 | 27 | NW 315° | 14.9 |
| 17:00 | – | 20 | 12 | 17 | 28 | NNW 328° | 8.1 |
| 18:00 | – | 20 | 18 | 19 | 29 | NNW 332° | 2.3 |
| 19:00 | – | 20 | 22 | 21 | 31 | NNW 335° | 1.9 |
| 20:00 | – | 20 | 25 | 22 | 32 | NNW 339° | 4.6 |
zaterdag 17 okt
| Uur | KNMI Harmonie (2 km) | DWD ICON (2–13 km) | ECMWF IFS (25 km) | Mix | Vlagen | Richting | Spreiding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | – | 19 | 21 | 20 | 28 | N 360° | 2.1 |
| 09:00 | – | 18 | 20 | 19 | 28 | N 359° | 2.2 |
| 10:00 | – | 17 | 20 | 18 | 27 | N 357° | 2.8 |
| 11:00 | – | 16 | 20 | 18 | 27 | N 355° | 3.6 |
| 12:00 | – | 15 | 20 | 17 | 26 | N 355° | 4.7 |
| 13:00 | – | 15 | 20 | 17 | 25 | N 355° | 5.7 |
| 14:00 | – | 14 | 21 | 17 | 24 | N 356° | 6.9 |
| 15:00 | – | 14 | 21 | 17 | 24 | N 354° | 7.5 |
| 16:00 | – | 14 | 21 | 17 | 23 | N 351° | 7.6 |
| 17:00 | – | 14 | 22 | 17 | 23 | N 349° | 8.1 |
| 18:00 | – | 13 | 22 | 17 | 22 | N 350° | 8.9 |
| 19:00 | – | 12 | 22 | 16 | 22 | N 353° | 10.0 |
| 20:00 | – | 11 | 22 | 16 | 21 | N 354° | 11.0 |